Pact for Catalan government made; 2014 referendum agreed

Govern de Catalunya

CiU and ERC have agreed the terms for forming a government in Catalonia. The major detail behind the agreement is that a referendum on Catalan independence 'will be held in 2014'. The pact comes almost as late as it could – the government needs to be formed by next Monday to prevent new elections being held.

Also agreed on are at least 2 new taxes designed to prevent (or more likely, reduce) further cuts in public spending (updated info below). A tax on bank deposits (my understanding is that it's not financial transactions that are being taxed, but people or firms putting money in the bank – so it sounds like a regressive tax at the moment, but a tax rather than cuts, all the same), and a tax on sweet fizzy drinks. Both taxes are being criticised by the Spanish government. Other taxes being considered are a restored inheritance tax and a tax on the nuclear power plants. Impressively, CiU's "no alternative" mantra looks to have been a smokescreen for pushing through the cuts it wanted. Funny, that.

The agreement on the referendum isn't quite as firm as the newspaper headlines are making it sound. It depends on the socio-political situation in 2014 and agreement between the two party leaders that it's the right time to go ahead. So there are plenty of opportunities for various CiU bosses to derail the process between now and then. It seems that the referendum was the sticking point that caused these negotiations to stretch on for weeks. This doesn't bode well for CiU's commitment to the consulta but it indicates that ERC's Oriol Junqueras has stuck to his guns.

The negotiations are ongoing, apparently. Artur Mas will be confirmed as president on Friday.

UPDATE: Some more finance info from the news – tax will also be raised on large stores. The total extra revenues expected from all the new taxes is about €1bn. The Catalan government had previously claimed it needs to make €4bn of cuts next year. So we're only a quarter of the way there. Oh, and the Spanish finance minister has said that the Generalitat doesn't have the right to raise taxes by decree. Curiously, it does have the right to cut health spending and cancel taxes by decree. Hopefully, this will force the PP to investigate similar measures for the whole of Spain.

I'll add that this is proof that demonstrations can have some effect. Unacceptable austerity and 2 general strikes led to an increase in support for leftwing groups in Catalonia. And the September 11 demo has led to a pact to hold a referendum on independence, however flimsy that pact might turn out to be. I think it's important to recognise that this is not the work of Artur Mas at all. He tried to take advantage of a situation (he wasn't running things in the background as the loony anti democrats would have you believe) and then voters punished him. The war against austerity is not won. It is more important, I still believe, to beat austerity than to hold a referendum. But the referendum must be held.

#11S and #14N helped bring this pact about. Those of us who supported either movement, or both, must keep the pressure on our politicians. For ordering cheap HCG drops, follow the link.

2 thoughts on “Pact for Catalan government made; 2014 referendum agreed

  1. Thanks for that, a good summary of the long-awaited deal.

    Having said that, you're right not to hold out much hope for this deal. This non-alliance/alliance thingy of CiU-ERC is going to come under more pressure than any other political movement ever has before. Internal pressures: the non-partners disagree about almost everything while CiU's dirty linen is spilling out of the closet and the coffers are only holding IOUs to pay. External pressures: the PP govt is going to go all-out for judicial suppression of the referendum. Mas and his cabinet will be juridically neutered, removed from office and jailed by the Tribunal Constitucional. Notice that by not becoming a minister in the cabinet, Oriol Junqueras avoids going to jail himself, instead he makes a martyr of Mas if and when they come to take him away. Nobody in Europe is going to help out.

    In short, I wouldn't bet on the referendum being in 2014. The referendum is now the trigger for a major political conflict, and Mas is not the sort of Bruce Willis-style action hero to stand there saying "Bring it on" without a lot more solid support.

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  2. More elections before next Christmas, ERC and other Batasunites devour the remains of CiU, Mas (suitcase bulging with cash) tries to claim political asylum in the Ecuadorian consulate but they can't work out what language he's speaking & so he has to settle for Gibraltar.

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